Pages

Sunday, March 13, 2016

FINAL NCAA Basketball Projections as of March 13

FINAL Projections as of March 13


Seed
SOUTH- Louisville

EAST- Philadelphia

MIDWEST- Chicago
WEST- Anaheim
     1


Kansas (BIG 12)
Villanova
UNC (ACC)
Michigan State
(BIG TEN)
     2


Xavier
VirginiaOklahomaOregon (PAC 12)
     3


Miami
Indiana (BIG TEN)UtahWest Virginia
     4


Maryland
Kentucky (SEC)PurdueTexas A&M
     5


Cal
ArizonaIowa StateDuke
     6


Texas
BaylorSeton Hall
(BIG EAST)
Iowa
     7


Dayton
St. Joseph's (A-10)WisconsinNotre Dame
     8


Providence
Colorado
USCTexas Tech
     9


Oregon State
Connecticut (AAC)
CincinnatiPitt
    10

Wichita State


ButlerVCUTemple
    11
San Diego State/
Vanderbilt


Arkansas Little Rock
(SUN BELT)
Gonzaga (WCC)Monmouth/
St. Bonaventure
    12


Northern Iowa (MVC)

Yale (IVY)Chattanooga (SOUTHERN)South Dakota State (SUMMIT)
    13


Stephen F Austin (SOUTHLAND)
Stony Brook
(AMERICA EAST)
UNC-Wilmington (CAA)Fresno State (MWC)
    14


Buffalo (MAC)
Middle Tennessee
(C-USA)
Hawaii
(BIG WEST)
Iona (MAAC)
    15


UNC-Asheville
(BIG SOUTH)
Green Bay (HORIZON)Cal State Bakersfield (WAC)Weber State
(BIG SKY)
    16
Austin Peay (OVC)/
Holy Cross (PATRIOT)
Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC)/
Southern (SWAC)
Florida Gulf Coast (ATLANTIC SUN)

Hampton (MEAC)

NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.

Last 4 In:                 Monmouth vs. St. Bonaventure            Vanderbilt vs. San Diego State
First Out:   South Carolina, St. Mary's, Michigan, Syracuse, Florida, Tulsa, Valparaiso, Georgia

Last In:
Monmouth- very impressive nonconference scheduling and have wins over Notre Dame, USC, UCLA, and Georgetown.  The committee typically rewards teams who challenge themselves in the nonconference.  Very similar to Iona from 2012, except Monmouth has more impressive wins. 

St. Bonaventure- great RPI and wins over Dayton and St. Joseph's.  Their Kenpom rating of 79 could keep them out, but owning a share of the A-10 regular season title might be enough to earn an at large bid. 

San Diego State- their nonconference strength of schedule is ranked 2nd in the country and they have a win over Cal, which looks really impressive now.  The MWC was really weak this year, but SDSU is probably ahead of the other teams on the fence. 

Vanderbilt- played a tough nonconference schedule and have a Kenpom rating of 26.  Wins over Kentucky and Texas A&M look good and might be enough to offset a weak RPI. 

First Out:
South Carolina- a late season slide pushed their RPI to 64 and they have one of the worst nonconference schedules in the country.  Only one RPI top 50 win probably isn't going to be enough.

St. Mary's- played one game away from home in the nonconference and lost.  2 wins over Gonzaga is not impressive this year and their poor scheduling will probably outweigh their decent RPI and Kenpom numbers. 

Michigan- wins over Texas, Indiana, Purdue, and Maryland look really good, but going 4-12 against the RPI top 100 will keep them out. 

Syracuse- an RPI of 72 will prevent them from getting an at large bid.  The team with the lowest RPI ever awarded an at large bid was USC in 2011 with an RPI of 67.  Wins over Duke, Texas A&M, Notre Dame, and Connecticut won't be enough. 


Bids by Conference:
PAC 12:        7
BIG 12:         7
ACC:             6
BIG TEN:      6
BIG EAST:    5
A-10:            4
SEC:              3
AAC:             3
MVC:            2
MWC:          2
MAAC:         2

Saturday, March 12, 2016

NCAA Basketball Projections as of March 13

Projections as of March 13

Seed
SOUTH- Louisville

EAST- Philadelphia

MIDWEST- Chicago
WEST- Anaheim
     1


Kansas (BIG 12)
Villanova
UNC (ACC)
Oregon (PAC 12)
     2


Virginia
Michigan State
(BIG TEN)
OklahomaXavier
     3


Indiana
MiamiUtahWest Virginia
     4


Texas A&M
Kentucky (SEC)MarylandPurdue
     5


Cal
ArizonaIowa StateDuke
     6


Texas
BaylorSeton Hall
(BIG EAST)
Iowa
     7


Dayton
ColoradoWisconsinNotre Dame
     8


Providence
Texas Tech
USCSt. Joseph's (A-10)
     9


Oregon State
Connecticut (AAC)
CincinnatiPitt
    10

Wichita State


ButlerVCUTemple
    11
Vanderbilt/
San Diego State


Arkansas Little Rock
(SUN BELT)
Gonzaga (WCC)South Carolina/
Monmouth
    12


Northern Iowa (MVC)

Yale (IVY)UNC-Wilmington (CAA)South Dakota State (SUMMIT)
    13


Stephen F Austin (SOUTHLAND)
Stony Brook
(AMERICA EAST)
Chattanooga (SOUTHERN)Fresno State (MWC)
    14


Buffalo (MAC)
Middle Tennessee
(C-USA)
Hawaii
(BIG WEST)
Iona (MAAC)
    15


UNC-Asheville
(BIG SOUTH)
New Mexico State (WAC)Weber State
(BIG SKY)
Green Bay (HORIZON)
    16
Austin Peay (OVC)/
Holy Cross (PATRIOT)
Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC)/
Southern (SWAC)
Florida Gulf Coast (ATLANTIC SUN)

Hampton (MEAC)

NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.

Last 4 In:                 South Carolina vs. Monmouth            Vanderbilt vs. San Diego State
First Out:   St. Bonaventure, St. Mary's, Michigan, Florida, Syracuse, Tulsa, Valparaiso, Georgia

Bids by Conference:
PAC 12:        7
BIG 12:         7
ACC:             6
BIG TEN:      6
BIG EAST:    5
SEC:              4
A-10:            3
AAC:             3
MVC:            2
MWC:          2
MAAC:         2

Wednesday, March 9, 2016

NCAA Basketball Projections as of March 10

Projections as of March 10


Seed
SOUTH- Louisville

EAST- Philadelphia

MIDWEST- Chicago
WEST- Anaheim
     1


Kansas (BIG 12)
Villanova
(BIG EAST)
Virginia
Xavier
     2


UNC (ACC)
Michigan StateOklahomaOregon (PAC 12)
     3


Indiana (BIG TEN)
MiamiUtahWest Virginia
     4


Texas A&M
Kentucky (SEC)MarylandPurdue
     5


Cal
IowaIowa StateDuke
     6


Baylor
ArizonaTexasDayton (A-10)
     7


Colorado
Seton HallWisconsinNotre Dame
     8


Cincinnati
USC
Oregon StateTexas Tech
     9


Providence
Pitt
ButlerSt. Joseph's
    10

Vanderbilt


Temple (AAC)South CarolinaConnecticut
    11
St. Bonaventure/
Monmouth


San Diego State (MWC)Gonzaga (WCC)Wichita State/VCU
    12


Arkansas Little Rock (SUN BELT)

Yale (IVY)Akron (MAC)Northern Iowa (MVC)
    13


Stephen F Austin (SOUTHLAND)
UNC-Wilmington (CAA)Chattanooga (SOUTHERN)South Dakota State (SUMMIT)
    14


Iona (MAAC)
UAB (C-USA)Hawaii
(BIG WEST)
Stony Brook
(AMERICA EAST)
    15


UNC-Asheville
(BIG SOUTH)
Green Bay (HORIZON)New Mexico State (WAC)Weber State
(BIG SKY)
    16
Austin Peay (OVC)/
Holy Cross (PATRIOT)
Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC)/
Florida Gulf Coast (ATLANTIC SUN)
Texas Southern (SWAC)

Hampton (MEAC)

NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.

Last 4 In:                   Wichita State vs. VCU                  St. Bonaventure vs. Monmouth
First Out:   Syracuse, Tulsa, St. Mary's, Florida, Michigan, Florida State, Washington, Valparaiso 

Bids by Conference:
PAC 12:        7
BIG 12:         7
ACC:             6
BIG TEN:      6
BIG EAST:    5
SEC:              4
A-10:            4
AAC:             3
MVC:            2
MAAC:         2

Sunday, March 6, 2016

NCAA Basketball Projections as of March 7

Projections as of March 7

Seed
SOUTH- Louisville

EAST- Philadelphia

MIDWEST- Chicago
WEST- Anaheim
     1


Kansas (BIG 12)
Villanova
(BIG EAST)
Virginia
Xavier
     2


UNC (ACC)
Michigan StateOklahomaOregon (PAC 12)
     3


Indiana (BIG TEN)
MiamiUtahWest Virginia
     4


Texas A&M
Kentucky (SEC)MarylandPurdue
     5


Cal
Iowa StateTexasDuke
     6


Baylor
ArizonaDayton (A-10)Iowa
     7


Colorado
Seton HallWisconsinNotre Dame
     8


Cincinnati
USC
Oregon StateTexas Tech
     9


Providence
South Carolina
ButlerSt. Joseph's
    10

Vanderbilt


Temple (AAC)PittConnecticut
    11
Wichita State/VCU


Monmouth (MAAC)St. Mary's (WCC)Syracuse/
St. Bonaventure
    12


Akron (MAC)

Valparaiso (HORIZON)Arkansas Little Rock
(SUN BELT)
San Diego State (MWC)
    13


Stephen F Austin (SOUTHLAND)
Yale (IVY)Northern Iowa (MVC)South Dakota State (SUMMIT)
    14


Hofstra (CAA)
Chattanooga (SOUTHERN)UAB (C-USA)Stony Brook
(AMERICA EAST)
    15


UNC-Asheville
(BIG SOUTH)
New Mexico State (WAC)Weber State
(BIG SKY)
Hawaii (BIG SKY)
    16
Austin Peay (OVC)/
Florida Gulf Coast (ATLANTIC SUN)
Wagner (NEC)/
Texas Southern (SWAC)
Hampton (MEAC)

Lehigh (PATRIOT)

NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.

Last 4 In:                   Syracuse vs. St. Bonaventure                  Wichita State vs. VCU
First Out:   Tulsa, Florida, Michigan, Florida St, Houston, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Gonzaga, Ohio State, Washington

Bids by Conference:
ACC:             7
PAC 12:        7
BIG 12:         7
BIG TEN:      6
BIG EAST:    5
SEC:              4
A-10:            4
AAC:             3
MVC:            2