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Tuesday, January 17, 2017

NCAA Projections as of January 17

Projections as of January 17


Seed
EAST- New York

SOUTH- Memphis

MIDWEST- Kansas City
WEST- San Jose
     1


Villanova (BIG EAST)
Baylor
Kansas (BIG 12)
UCLA
     2


Florida State
ButlerKentucky (SEC)Gonzaga (WCC)
     3


West Virginia
LouisvilleVirginiaCreighton
     4


Notre Dame (ACC)
UNCOregon (PAC 12)Duke
     5


Arizona
XavierFloridaWisconsin
     6


Cincinnati (AAC)
PurdueMinnesotaMaryland (BIG TEN)
     7


Iowa State
Virginia TechSMUClemson
     8


USC
St. Mary's
Seton HallSouth Carolina
     9


Miami
Dayton
MichiganIndiana
    10

Michigan State


Texas TechPittIllinois
    11
Northwestern/TCU


Arkansas/VCUIllinois State (MVC)Richmond (A-10)
    12


Boise State (MWC)

UNC Wilmington (CAA)Valparaiso (HORIZON)Middle Tennessee
(C-USA)
    13


Akron (MAC)
Princeton (IVY)Chattanooga (SOUTHERN)Monmouth (MAAC)
    14


North Dakota State (SUMMIT)
Georgia Southern
(SUN BELT)
Belmont (OVC)Vermont
(AMERICA EAST)
    15


Winthrop (BIG SOUTH)
Florida Gulf Coast (ATLANTIC SUN)Boston University (PATRIOT)UC-Irvine
(BIG WEST)
    16
New Orleans (SOUTHLAND)/
LIU Brooklyn (NEC)
NC Central (MEAC)/
Texas Southern (SWAC)

New Mexico State (WAC)

Weber State
(BIG SKY)

NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.

Last 4 In:                 Northwestern vs. TCU                       Arkansas vs. VCU
First Out:   Wichita State, Marquette, Rhode Island, Oklahoma St, Providence, Cal, Kansas St, Georgia

Bids by Conference:
ACC:             10
BIG TEN:       9
BIG 12:         6
PAC 12:        4
BIG EAST:    4
SEC:              4
A-10:            3
AAC:             2
WCC:            2

Friday, January 6, 2017

NCAA Projections as of January 6

Projections as of January 6

Seed
SOUTH- Memphis

EAST- New York

MIDWEST- Kansas City
WEST- San Jose
     1


Baylor (BIG 12)
Villanova (BIG EAST)
Kansas
UCLA (PAC 12)
     2


Butler
DukeKentucky (SEC)Gonzaga (WCC)
     3


Florida State (ACC)
WisconsinVirginiaWest Virginia
     4


UNC
OregonCreightonLouisville
     5


Arizona
MinnesotaNotre DameXavier
     6


SMU (AAC)
FloridaUSCClemson
     7


Virginia Tech
CincinnatiSt. Mary'sPurdue
     8


Dayton (A-10)
Maryland
Seton HallIowa State
     9


Michigan State
Oklahoma State
IndianaPitt
    10

Michigan


South CarolinaMiamiArkansas
    11
Rhode Island/Illinois


VCU/NC StateTexas TechWichita State (MVC)
    12


UNC-Wilmington (CAA)

Boise State (MWC)UT-Arlington
(SUN BELT)
Middle Tennessee
(C-USA)
    13


Princeton (IVY)
Valparaiso (HORIZON)Fort Wayne (SUMMIT)Monmouth (MAAC)
    14


Chattanooga (SOUTHERN)
Akron (MAC)Belmont (OVC)Vermont
(AMERICA EAST)
    15


FGCU
(ATLANTIC SUN)
New Mexico State (WAC)Lehigh (PATRIOT)UC-Irvine
(BIG WEST)
    16
Nicholls (SOUTHLAND)/
Wagner (NEC)
Radford (BIG SOUTH)/
Texas Southern (SWAC)

NC Central (MEAC)

Weber State
(BIG SKY)

NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.

Last 4 In:                 Rhode Island vs. Illinois            VCU vs. NC State
First Out:   Providence, TCU, Kansas State, Ohio State, Texas A&M, Colorado, Memphis, Nebraska

Bids by Conference:
ACC:             11
BIG TEN:       8
BIG 12:         6
PAC 12:        4
BIG EAST:    4
SEC:              4
A-10:            3
AAC:             2
WCC:            2

Sunday, March 13, 2016

FINAL NCAA Basketball Projections as of March 13

FINAL Projections as of March 13


Seed
SOUTH- Louisville

EAST- Philadelphia

MIDWEST- Chicago
WEST- Anaheim
     1


Kansas (BIG 12)
Villanova
UNC (ACC)
Michigan State
(BIG TEN)
     2


Xavier
VirginiaOklahomaOregon (PAC 12)
     3


Miami
Indiana (BIG TEN)UtahWest Virginia
     4


Maryland
Kentucky (SEC)PurdueTexas A&M
     5


Cal
ArizonaIowa StateDuke
     6


Texas
BaylorSeton Hall
(BIG EAST)
Iowa
     7


Dayton
St. Joseph's (A-10)WisconsinNotre Dame
     8


Providence
Colorado
USCTexas Tech
     9


Oregon State
Connecticut (AAC)
CincinnatiPitt
    10

Wichita State


ButlerVCUTemple
    11
San Diego State/
Vanderbilt


Arkansas Little Rock
(SUN BELT)
Gonzaga (WCC)Monmouth/
St. Bonaventure
    12


Northern Iowa (MVC)

Yale (IVY)Chattanooga (SOUTHERN)South Dakota State (SUMMIT)
    13


Stephen F Austin (SOUTHLAND)
Stony Brook
(AMERICA EAST)
UNC-Wilmington (CAA)Fresno State (MWC)
    14


Buffalo (MAC)
Middle Tennessee
(C-USA)
Hawaii
(BIG WEST)
Iona (MAAC)
    15


UNC-Asheville
(BIG SOUTH)
Green Bay (HORIZON)Cal State Bakersfield (WAC)Weber State
(BIG SKY)
    16
Austin Peay (OVC)/
Holy Cross (PATRIOT)
Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC)/
Southern (SWAC)
Florida Gulf Coast (ATLANTIC SUN)

Hampton (MEAC)

NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.

Last 4 In:                 Monmouth vs. St. Bonaventure            Vanderbilt vs. San Diego State
First Out:   South Carolina, St. Mary's, Michigan, Syracuse, Florida, Tulsa, Valparaiso, Georgia

Last In:
Monmouth- very impressive nonconference scheduling and have wins over Notre Dame, USC, UCLA, and Georgetown.  The committee typically rewards teams who challenge themselves in the nonconference.  Very similar to Iona from 2012, except Monmouth has more impressive wins. 

St. Bonaventure- great RPI and wins over Dayton and St. Joseph's.  Their Kenpom rating of 79 could keep them out, but owning a share of the A-10 regular season title might be enough to earn an at large bid. 

San Diego State- their nonconference strength of schedule is ranked 2nd in the country and they have a win over Cal, which looks really impressive now.  The MWC was really weak this year, but SDSU is probably ahead of the other teams on the fence. 

Vanderbilt- played a tough nonconference schedule and have a Kenpom rating of 26.  Wins over Kentucky and Texas A&M look good and might be enough to offset a weak RPI. 

First Out:
South Carolina- a late season slide pushed their RPI to 64 and they have one of the worst nonconference schedules in the country.  Only one RPI top 50 win probably isn't going to be enough.

St. Mary's- played one game away from home in the nonconference and lost.  2 wins over Gonzaga is not impressive this year and their poor scheduling will probably outweigh their decent RPI and Kenpom numbers. 

Michigan- wins over Texas, Indiana, Purdue, and Maryland look really good, but going 4-12 against the RPI top 100 will keep them out. 

Syracuse- an RPI of 72 will prevent them from getting an at large bid.  The team with the lowest RPI ever awarded an at large bid was USC in 2011 with an RPI of 67.  Wins over Duke, Texas A&M, Notre Dame, and Connecticut won't be enough. 


Bids by Conference:
PAC 12:        7
BIG 12:         7
ACC:             6
BIG TEN:      6
BIG EAST:    5
A-10:            4
SEC:              3
AAC:             3
MVC:            2
MWC:          2
MAAC:         2

Saturday, March 12, 2016

NCAA Basketball Projections as of March 13

Projections as of March 13

Seed
SOUTH- Louisville

EAST- Philadelphia

MIDWEST- Chicago
WEST- Anaheim
     1


Kansas (BIG 12)
Villanova
UNC (ACC)
Oregon (PAC 12)
     2


Virginia
Michigan State
(BIG TEN)
OklahomaXavier
     3


Indiana
MiamiUtahWest Virginia
     4


Texas A&M
Kentucky (SEC)MarylandPurdue
     5


Cal
ArizonaIowa StateDuke
     6


Texas
BaylorSeton Hall
(BIG EAST)
Iowa
     7


Dayton
ColoradoWisconsinNotre Dame
     8


Providence
Texas Tech
USCSt. Joseph's (A-10)
     9


Oregon State
Connecticut (AAC)
CincinnatiPitt
    10

Wichita State


ButlerVCUTemple
    11
Vanderbilt/
San Diego State


Arkansas Little Rock
(SUN BELT)
Gonzaga (WCC)South Carolina/
Monmouth
    12


Northern Iowa (MVC)

Yale (IVY)UNC-Wilmington (CAA)South Dakota State (SUMMIT)
    13


Stephen F Austin (SOUTHLAND)
Stony Brook
(AMERICA EAST)
Chattanooga (SOUTHERN)Fresno State (MWC)
    14


Buffalo (MAC)
Middle Tennessee
(C-USA)
Hawaii
(BIG WEST)
Iona (MAAC)
    15


UNC-Asheville
(BIG SOUTH)
New Mexico State (WAC)Weber State
(BIG SKY)
Green Bay (HORIZON)
    16
Austin Peay (OVC)/
Holy Cross (PATRIOT)
Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC)/
Southern (SWAC)
Florida Gulf Coast (ATLANTIC SUN)

Hampton (MEAC)

NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.

Last 4 In:                 South Carolina vs. Monmouth            Vanderbilt vs. San Diego State
First Out:   St. Bonaventure, St. Mary's, Michigan, Florida, Syracuse, Tulsa, Valparaiso, Georgia

Bids by Conference:
PAC 12:        7
BIG 12:         7
ACC:             6
BIG TEN:      6
BIG EAST:    5
SEC:              4
A-10:            3
AAC:             3
MVC:            2
MWC:          2
MAAC:         2