Seed
|
SOUTH- Memphis
|
WEST- Anaheim
|
MIDWEST- Indianapolis
|
EAST- New York
|
1
|
Florida (SEC)
|
Arizona (PAC 12)
|
Wichita State (MVC)
|
Wisconsin
|
2
|
Michigan (BIG TEN)
| Syracuse | Kansas (BIG 12) | Villanova |
3
|
Virginia (ACC)
| Iowa State | Creighton (BIG EAST) | Duke |
4
|
Louisville
| Michigan State | San Diego State (MWC) | Cincinnati (AAC) |
5
|
UNC
| Saint Louis (A-10) | Ohio State | Oklahoma |
6
|
Texas
| Connecticut | VCU | UMass |
7
|
New Mexico
| Baylor | UCLA | Memphis |
8
|
Colorado
| Gonzaga (WCC) | Oregon | Kentucky |
9
|
George Washington
|
Oklahoma State
| Kansas State | Stanford |
10
|
Xavier
| Arizona State | Pitt | Dayton |
11
|
SMU
| St. Joseph's | BYU/Nebraska | Iowa |
12
|
Southern Miss
(C-USA) | North Dakota State (SUMMIT) | Toledo (MAC) | Tennessee/Providence |
13
|
Delaware (CAA)
| Manhattan (MAAC) | Stephen F. Austin (SOUTHLAND) | Harvard (IVY) |
14
|
Georgia State
(SUN BELT) | UC-Irvine (BIG WEST) | Mercer (ATLANTIC SUN) | Eastern Kentucky (OVC) |
15
|
American (PATRIOT)
| Milwaukee (HORIZON) | Utah Valley (WAC) | NC Central (MEAC) |
16
| Mount St. Mary's (NEC)/ Texas Southern (SWAC) | Weber State (BIG SKY) | Stony Brook (AMERICA EAST) |
Wofford (SOUTHERN)/
Coastal Carolina (BIG SOUTH) |
NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.
Last 4 In: BYU vs. Nebraska Tennessee vs. Providence
First Out: Cal, Minnesota, Florida State, Missouri, Green Bay, Belmont, St. John's, Georgetown
Last In:
BYU: RPI- 34, SOS- 24. Wins over Texas, Stanford, and Gonzaga, an RPI of 33, and a nonconference SOS of 4 are very impressive. 4 bad losses (Loyola-Marymount, Pepperdine, Portland, Pacific) are concerning, but their wins over sure tournament teams are better than most other bubble teams. Making it to the WCC finals will likely be enough to get them in.
Nebraska: RPI- 41, SOS- 28. Their win over Wisconsin likely clinched their spot in the NCAA Tournament. Wins over Wisconsin, Michigan State, Ohio State, and Minnesota are very solid and while they didn't do anything out of conference, 11 wins in the Big Ten should be enough.
Tennessee: RPI- 43, SOS- 22. Wins over Virginia and Xavier keep them very much in the discussion, but these are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins. Losses to Texas A&M (twice) and UTEP don't help, but beating South Carolina in the SEC Tournament might be enough to get them in because no other bubble teams behind them are making a hard push to get in.
Providence: RPI- 51, SOS- 63. Wins over Creighton and Xavier are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins, and they are only 7-10 vs the RPI top 100. Beating St. John's was big, and if they beat Seton Hall, they will reach the Big East championship game, which could be enough for an at-large bid.
First Out:
Cal: RPI- 57, SOS- 25. Wins over Arizona, Stanford, Oregon, and Arkansas are very impressive, but a weak RPI and only going 8-12 vs. the RPI top 100 and 12-12 vs. the RPI top 150 put them in danger of missing out on the tourney. Losing to Colorado probably doomed them to the NIT.
Minnesota: RPI- 47, SOS- 9. Wins over Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa and a SOS of 9 are very impressive, but they are only 14-12 vs. the RPI top 200. They probably have to beat Wisconsin to realistically have a shot at an at-large bid.
Florida State: RPI- 52, SOS- 38. A win over Virginia would get them in. A loss would probably mean a trip to the NIT.
Missouri: RPI- 49, SOS- 75. A win over Florida would get them in. A loss would definitely mean a trip to the NIT.
Bids by Conference:
Last In:
BYU: RPI- 34, SOS- 24. Wins over Texas, Stanford, and Gonzaga, an RPI of 33, and a nonconference SOS of 4 are very impressive. 4 bad losses (Loyola-Marymount, Pepperdine, Portland, Pacific) are concerning, but their wins over sure tournament teams are better than most other bubble teams. Making it to the WCC finals will likely be enough to get them in.
Nebraska: RPI- 41, SOS- 28. Their win over Wisconsin likely clinched their spot in the NCAA Tournament. Wins over Wisconsin, Michigan State, Ohio State, and Minnesota are very solid and while they didn't do anything out of conference, 11 wins in the Big Ten should be enough.
Tennessee: RPI- 43, SOS- 22. Wins over Virginia and Xavier keep them very much in the discussion, but these are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins. Losses to Texas A&M (twice) and UTEP don't help, but beating South Carolina in the SEC Tournament might be enough to get them in because no other bubble teams behind them are making a hard push to get in.
Providence: RPI- 51, SOS- 63. Wins over Creighton and Xavier are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins, and they are only 7-10 vs the RPI top 100. Beating St. John's was big, and if they beat Seton Hall, they will reach the Big East championship game, which could be enough for an at-large bid.
Cal: RPI- 57, SOS- 25. Wins over Arizona, Stanford, Oregon, and Arkansas are very impressive, but a weak RPI and only going 8-12 vs. the RPI top 100 and 12-12 vs. the RPI top 150 put them in danger of missing out on the tourney. Losing to Colorado probably doomed them to the NIT.
Minnesota: RPI- 47, SOS- 9. Wins over Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa and a SOS of 9 are very impressive, but they are only 14-12 vs. the RPI top 200. They probably have to beat Wisconsin to realistically have a shot at an at-large bid.
Florida State: RPI- 52, SOS- 38. A win over Virginia would get them in. A loss would probably mean a trip to the NIT.
Missouri: RPI- 49, SOS- 75. A win over Florida would get them in. A loss would definitely mean a trip to the NIT.
Bids by Conference:
BIG 12: 7
PAC 12: 6
A-10: 6
BIG TEN: 6
PAC 12: 6
A-10: 6
BIG TEN: 6
ACC: 5
AAC: 5
BIG EAST: 4
SEC: 3
AAC: 5
BIG EAST: 4
SEC: 3
MWC: 2
WCC: 2
WCC: 2
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