Seed
|
WEST- Anaheim
|
SOUTH- Memphis
|
MIDWEST- Indianapolis
|
EAST- New York
|
1
|
Arizona (PAC 12)
|
Florida (SEC)
|
Wichita State (MVC)
|
Villanova
(BIG EAST) |
2
|
Wisconsin
| Virginia (ACC) | Kansas (BIG 12) | Michigan (BIG TEN) |
3
|
Creighton
| Iowa State | Syracuse | Duke |
4
|
Oklahoma
| Michigan State | San Diego State (MWC) | Cincinnati (AAC) |
5
|
UNC
| Louisville | UCLA | Texas |
6
|
Saint Louis (A-10)
| VCU | UMass | Connecticut |
7
|
Memphis
| Ohio State | New Mexico | Kentucky |
8
|
Iowa
| George Washington | Arizona State | Kansas State |
9
|
Gonzaga (WCC)
|
Oklahoma State
| Baylor | SMU |
10
|
Colorado
| St. Joseph's | Stanford | Oregon |
11
|
Pitt
| Cal | BYU/Arkansas | Xavier |
12
|
Green Bay (HORIZON)
| Southern Miss (C-USA) | Toledo (MAC) | Dayton/Providence |
13
|
North Dakota State (SUMMIT)
| Belmont (OVC) | Stephen F. Austin (SOUTHLAND) | Harvard (IVY) |
14
|
Mercer
(ATLANTIC SUN) | Georgia State (SUN BELT) | Iona (MAAC) | Delaware (CAA) |
15
|
Robert Morris (NEC)
| Boston U (PATRIOT) | UC-Irvine (BIG WEST) | Vermont (AMERICA EAST) |
16
| Utah Valley (WAC) | Weber State (BIG SKY)/ Alabama State (SWAC) | NC Central (MEAC) |
Davidson (SOUTHERN)/
High Point (BIG SOUTH) |
NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.
Last 4 In: BYU vs. Arkansas Dayton vs. Providence
First Out: Minnesota, Tennessee, Florida State, Missouri, Nebraska, Georgetown, St. John's, Clemson
Last In:
BYU: RPI- 35, SOS- 35. Wins over Texas, Stanford, and Gonzaga, RPI of 35, and nonconference SOS of 5 are very impressive. 4 bad losses (Loyola-Marymount, Pepperdine, Portland, Pacific) are concerning, but their wins over sure tournament teams are better than most other bubble teams.
Arkansas: RPI- 58, SOS- 78. Wins over SMU, Minnesota, and 2 wins over Kentucky are solid and have only 1 bad loss (Texas A&M). A weak RPI and nonconference SOS (200) are the only things keeping them on the bubble.
Dayton: RPI- 48, SOS- 69. Wins over Gonzaga, Cal, UMass, and George Washington are as impressive as any bubble team, except for maybe Georgetown. 3 bad losses (Illinois State, USC, Rhode Island) are concerning, but their wins over 3 sure tournament teams (and likely a 4th with Cal) are enough to get them in, for now.
Providence: RPI- 51, SOS- 62. Wins over Creighton and Xavier are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins, but they have 8 RPI top 100 wins and only 1 bad loss (Seton Hall).
First Out:
Minnesota: RPI 46, SOS- 3. Wins over Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa and a SOS of 3 are very impressive, but they are only 12-12 vs. the RPI top 200. They have to get some wins in the Big Ten tournament, but have to beat Penn State first to get to 8-10 in conference play. 7-11 would mean a trip to the NIT.
Tennessee: RPI- 47, SOS- 19. Wins over Virginia and Xavier keep them very much in the discussion, but these are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins. Losses to Texas A&M (twice) and UTEP don't help, but if they beat Auburn and Missouri and win at least 1 game in the SEC tournament, they will have a very legitimate chance at an at-large bid.
Florida State: RPI- 57, SOS- 46. Wins over VCU, UMass, and Pitt are great, but they are only 5-10 vs. the RPI top 100, and 10-11 vs. the RPI top 200. That is not going to be appealing to the Selection Committee.
Missouri: RPI- 51, SOS- 83. Going 8-8 vs. the RPI top 100 is better than most bubble teams, but they only have 1 win over a tournament team (UCLA). Beating Texas A&M and Tennessee is a must, as is winning some games in the SEC tournament.
Bids by Conference:
Last In:
BYU: RPI- 35, SOS- 35. Wins over Texas, Stanford, and Gonzaga, RPI of 35, and nonconference SOS of 5 are very impressive. 4 bad losses (Loyola-Marymount, Pepperdine, Portland, Pacific) are concerning, but their wins over sure tournament teams are better than most other bubble teams.
Arkansas: RPI- 58, SOS- 78. Wins over SMU, Minnesota, and 2 wins over Kentucky are solid and have only 1 bad loss (Texas A&M). A weak RPI and nonconference SOS (200) are the only things keeping them on the bubble.
Dayton: RPI- 48, SOS- 69. Wins over Gonzaga, Cal, UMass, and George Washington are as impressive as any bubble team, except for maybe Georgetown. 3 bad losses (Illinois State, USC, Rhode Island) are concerning, but their wins over 3 sure tournament teams (and likely a 4th with Cal) are enough to get them in, for now.
Providence: RPI- 51, SOS- 62. Wins over Creighton and Xavier are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins, but they have 8 RPI top 100 wins and only 1 bad loss (Seton Hall).
First Out:
Minnesota: RPI 46, SOS- 3. Wins over Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa and a SOS of 3 are very impressive, but they are only 12-12 vs. the RPI top 200. They have to get some wins in the Big Ten tournament, but have to beat Penn State first to get to 8-10 in conference play. 7-11 would mean a trip to the NIT.
Tennessee: RPI- 47, SOS- 19. Wins over Virginia and Xavier keep them very much in the discussion, but these are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins. Losses to Texas A&M (twice) and UTEP don't help, but if they beat Auburn and Missouri and win at least 1 game in the SEC tournament, they will have a very legitimate chance at an at-large bid.
Florida State: RPI- 57, SOS- 46. Wins over VCU, UMass, and Pitt are great, but they are only 5-10 vs. the RPI top 100, and 10-11 vs. the RPI top 200. That is not going to be appealing to the Selection Committee.
Missouri: RPI- 51, SOS- 83. Going 8-8 vs. the RPI top 100 is better than most bubble teams, but they only have 1 win over a tournament team (UCLA). Beating Texas A&M and Tennessee is a must, as is winning some games in the SEC tournament.
Bids by Conference:
PAC 12: 7
BIG 12: 7
A-10: 6
BIG TEN: 5
BIG 12: 7
A-10: 6
BIG TEN: 5
ACC: 5
AAC: 5
BIG EAST: 4
SEC: 3
AAC: 5
BIG EAST: 4
SEC: 3
MWC: 2
WCC: 2
WCC: 2
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