Seed
|
SOUTH- Memphis
|
WEST- Anaheim
|
MIDWEST- Indianapolis
|
EAST- New York
|
1
|
Florida (SEC)
|
Arizona (PAC 12)
|
Wichita State (MVC)
|
Michigan (BIG TEN)
|
2
|
Virginia (ACC)
| Wisconsin | Kansas | Villanova |
3
|
Louisville (AAC)
| Iowa State (BIG 12) | Creighton (BIG EAST) | Duke |
4
|
San Diego State (MWC)
| Syracuse | Michigan State | Cincinnati (AAC) |
5
|
UNC
| VCU (A-10) | Connecticut | Oklahoma |
6
|
Texas
| UCLA | Ohio State | Baylor |
7
|
Kentucky
| UMass | New Mexico | Saint Louis |
8
|
Memphis
| Gonzaga (WCC) | Oregon | George Washington |
9
|
Colorado
|
Oklahoma State
| Kansas State | Pitt |
10
|
St. Joseph's
| Xavier | Arizona State | Stanford |
11
|
Iowa
| Tennessee | Dayton | SMU/Nebraska |
12
|
Harvard (IVY)
| North Dakota State (SUMMIT) | Toledo (MAC) | BYU/Providence |
13
|
Stephen F. Austin (SOUTHLAND)
| Tulsa (C-USA) | Manhattan (MAAC) | Delaware (CAA) |
14
|
Georgia State
(SUN BELT) | New Mexico State (WAC) | Mercer (ATLANTIC SUN) | Eastern Kentucky (OVC) |
15
|
Wofford (SOUTHERN)
| American (PATRIOT) | Milwaukee (HORIZON) | NC Central (MEAC) |
16
| Cal Poly (BIG WEST)/ Texas Southern (SWAC) | Weber State (BIG SKY) | Albany (AMERICA EAST) |
Mount St. Mary's (NEC)/
Coastal Carolina (BIG SOUTH) |
NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.
Last 4 In: SMU vs. Nebraska BYU vs. Providence
First Out: Cal, Minnesota, Florida State, Missouri, Southern Miss, NC State, Louisiana Tech, Green Bay
Last In:
SMU: RPI- 52, SOS- 113. SMU is a much better team that their resume would indicate. But with only 4 RPI top 100 wins, 3 bad losses, and a nonconference SOS of 294, they will be sweating it out on Selection Sunday. Teams that have done much more than SMU have been left out before in previous years, so it wouldn't be a total shock if they were left out. I doubt it, but it is possible.
Nebraska: RPI- 48, SOS- 25. Their win over Wisconsin likely clinched their spot in the NCAA Tournament. Wins over Wisconsin, Michigan State, Ohio State, and Minnesota are very solid and while they didn't do anything out of conference, 11 wins in the Big Ten should be enough.
BYU: RPI- 31, SOS- 24. Wins over Texas, Stanford, and Gonzaga, an RPI of 33, and a nonconference SOS of 4 are very impressive. 4 bad losses (Loyola-Marymount, Pepperdine, Portland, Pacific) are concerning, but their wins over sure tournament teams are better than most other bubble teams. Making it to the WCC finals will likely be enough to get them in.
Providence: RPI- 47, SOS- 66. Wins over Creighton and Xavier are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins, and they are only 7-10 vs the RPI top 100. They would be smart to just go ahead and get the automatic bid.
First Out:
Cal: RPI- 63, SOS- 32. Wins over Arizona, Stanford, Oregon, and Arkansas are very impressive, but a weak RPI and only going 8-12 vs. the RPI top 100 and 12-12 vs. the RPI top 150 put them in danger of missing out on the tourney. Losing to Colorado probably doomed them to the NIT.
Minnesota: RPI- 49, SOS- 7. Wins over Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa and a SOS of 7 are very impressive, but they are only 14-12 vs. the RPI top 200. They probably had to beat Wisconsin to realistically have a shot at an at-large bid.
Florida State: RPI- 53, SOS- 33. Florida State has some solid wins, including over UMass, VCU, and Pitt, but they are only 6-12 vs. the RPI top 100. A trip to the NIT seems inevitable.
Missouri: RPI- 50, SOS- 69. Since Missouri's best wins are against UCLA and Tennessee, both at home, and have 7 losses outside the RPI top 50, they are probably headed to the NIT.
Bids by Conference:
Last In:
SMU: RPI- 52, SOS- 113. SMU is a much better team that their resume would indicate. But with only 4 RPI top 100 wins, 3 bad losses, and a nonconference SOS of 294, they will be sweating it out on Selection Sunday. Teams that have done much more than SMU have been left out before in previous years, so it wouldn't be a total shock if they were left out. I doubt it, but it is possible.
Nebraska: RPI- 48, SOS- 25. Their win over Wisconsin likely clinched their spot in the NCAA Tournament. Wins over Wisconsin, Michigan State, Ohio State, and Minnesota are very solid and while they didn't do anything out of conference, 11 wins in the Big Ten should be enough.
BYU: RPI- 31, SOS- 24. Wins over Texas, Stanford, and Gonzaga, an RPI of 33, and a nonconference SOS of 4 are very impressive. 4 bad losses (Loyola-Marymount, Pepperdine, Portland, Pacific) are concerning, but their wins over sure tournament teams are better than most other bubble teams. Making it to the WCC finals will likely be enough to get them in.
Providence: RPI- 47, SOS- 66. Wins over Creighton and Xavier are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins, and they are only 7-10 vs the RPI top 100. They would be smart to just go ahead and get the automatic bid.
Cal: RPI- 63, SOS- 32. Wins over Arizona, Stanford, Oregon, and Arkansas are very impressive, but a weak RPI and only going 8-12 vs. the RPI top 100 and 12-12 vs. the RPI top 150 put them in danger of missing out on the tourney. Losing to Colorado probably doomed them to the NIT.
Minnesota: RPI- 49, SOS- 7. Wins over Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa and a SOS of 7 are very impressive, but they are only 14-12 vs. the RPI top 200. They probably had to beat Wisconsin to realistically have a shot at an at-large bid.
Florida State: RPI- 53, SOS- 33. Florida State has some solid wins, including over UMass, VCU, and Pitt, but they are only 6-12 vs. the RPI top 100. A trip to the NIT seems inevitable.
Missouri: RPI- 50, SOS- 69. Since Missouri's best wins are against UCLA and Tennessee, both at home, and have 7 losses outside the RPI top 50, they are probably headed to the NIT.
Bids by Conference:
BIG 12: 7
PAC 12: 6
A-10: 6
BIG TEN: 6
PAC 12: 6
A-10: 6
BIG TEN: 6
ACC: 5
AAC: 5
BIG EAST: 4
SEC: 3
AAC: 5
BIG EAST: 4
SEC: 3
MWC: 2
WCC: 2
WCC: 2
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