Seed
|
WEST- Anaheim
|
SOUTH- Memphis
|
MIDWEST- Indianapolis
|
EAST- New York
|
1
|
Arizona (PAC 12)
|
Florida (SEC)
|
Wichita State (MVC)
|
Villanova (BIG EAST)
|
2
|
Wisconsin
| Virginia (ACC) | Kansas (BIG 12) | Michigan (BIG TEN) |
3
|
Creighton
| Iowa State | Syracuse | Cincinnati (AAC) |
4
|
Louisville
| Michigan State | San Diego State (MWC) | Duke |
5
|
Texas
| UCLA | UNC | Oklahoma |
6
|
New Mexico
| VCU | Connecticut | UMass |
7
|
Kentucky
| Ohio State | Memphis | Saint Louis (A-10) |
8
|
Iowa
| George Washington | Colorado | Kansas State |
9
|
Oklahoma State
|
Baylor
| St. Joseph's | Arizona State |
10
|
Gonzaga (WCC)
| SMU | Oregon | Stanford |
11
|
Arkansas
| Xavier | Dayton | Cal/BYU |
12
|
Green Bay (HORIZON)
| Southern Miss (C-USA) | Toledo (MAC) | Pitt/Providence |
13
|
North Dakota State (SUMMIT)
| Belmont (OVC) | Stephen F. Austin (SOUTHLAND) | Harvard (IVY) |
14
|
Mercer
(ATLANTIC SUN) | Georgia State (SUN BELT) | Iona (MAAC) | Delaware (CAA) |
15
|
Robert Morris (NEC)
| Boston U (PATRIOT) | UC-Irvine (BIG WEST) | Vermont (AMERICA EAST) |
16
| Utah Valley (WAC) | Weber State (BIG SKY)/ Alabama State (SWAC) | NC Central (MEAC) |
Davidson (SOUTHERN)/
High Point (BIG SOUTH) |
NOTE: Teams with their conference in parentheses are the projected conference champions.
Last 4 In: Cal vs. BYU Pitt vs. Providence
First Out: Tennessee, Minnesota, Missouri, Georgetown, Nebraska, Florida State, St. John's, Clemson
Last In:
Cal: RPI- 59, SOS- 38. Wins over Arizona, Stanford, Oregon, and Arkansas are very impressive, but a weak RPI and only going 6-10 vs. the RPI top 100 and 10-11 vs. the RPI top 150 put them in danger of missing out on the tourney.
BYU: RPI- 35, SOS- 35. Wins over Texas, Stanford, and Gonzaga, RPI of 35, and nonconference SOS of 5 are very impressive. 4 bad losses (Loyola-Marymount, Pepperdine, Portland, Pacific) are concerning, but their wins over sure tournament teams are better than most other bubble teams.
Pitt: RPI- 56, SOS- 85. Pitt's resume is pretty terrible. They have 1 RPI top 50 win (Stanford), 5 RPI top 100 wins, and a nonconference SOS of 238. The good news for them is that they don't have a bad loss, but if they lose to Clemson, they could easily be left out of the tournament, which is amazing since they were considered a lock just a few weeks ago.
Providence: RPI- 52, SOS- 61. Wins over Creighton and Xavier are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins, but they have 8 RPI top 100 wins and only 1 bad loss (Seton Hall).
First Out:
Tennessee: RPI- 47, SOS- 19. Wins over Virginia and Xavier keep them very much in the discussion, but these are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins. Losses to Texas A&M (twice) and UTEP don't help, but if they beat Missouri and win at least 1 game in the SEC tournament, they will have a very legitimate chance at an at-large bid.
Minnesota: RPI 46, SOS- 3. Wins over Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa and a SOS of 3 are very impressive, but they are only 12-12 vs. the RPI top 200. They have to get some wins in the Big Ten tournament, but have to beat Penn State first to get to 8-10 in conference play. 7-11 would mean a trip to the NIT.
Missouri: RPI- 49, SOS- 80. Going 8-8 vs. the RPI top 100 is better than most bubble teams, but they only have 1 win over a tournament team (UCLA). Beating Tennessee is a must, as is winning some games in the SEC tournament.
Georgetown: RPI- 57, SOS- 13. Wins over VCU, Michigan State, Kansas State, Creighton, Xavier, and Providence are by far better than any other bubble team. But those 3 bad losses (Northeastern and Seton Hall twice) are killers and will likely force Georgetown to make a deep run in the Big East tournament to secure an at-large bid, assuming they lose to Villanova in the regular season finale.
Bids by Conference:
Last In:
Cal: RPI- 59, SOS- 38. Wins over Arizona, Stanford, Oregon, and Arkansas are very impressive, but a weak RPI and only going 6-10 vs. the RPI top 100 and 10-11 vs. the RPI top 150 put them in danger of missing out on the tourney.
BYU: RPI- 35, SOS- 35. Wins over Texas, Stanford, and Gonzaga, RPI of 35, and nonconference SOS of 5 are very impressive. 4 bad losses (Loyola-Marymount, Pepperdine, Portland, Pacific) are concerning, but their wins over sure tournament teams are better than most other bubble teams.
Pitt: RPI- 56, SOS- 85. Pitt's resume is pretty terrible. They have 1 RPI top 50 win (Stanford), 5 RPI top 100 wins, and a nonconference SOS of 238. The good news for them is that they don't have a bad loss, but if they lose to Clemson, they could easily be left out of the tournament, which is amazing since they were considered a lock just a few weeks ago.
Providence: RPI- 52, SOS- 61. Wins over Creighton and Xavier are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins, but they have 8 RPI top 100 wins and only 1 bad loss (Seton Hall).
First Out:
Tennessee: RPI- 47, SOS- 19. Wins over Virginia and Xavier keep them very much in the discussion, but these are their only 2 RPI top 50 wins. Losses to Texas A&M (twice) and UTEP don't help, but if they beat Missouri and win at least 1 game in the SEC tournament, they will have a very legitimate chance at an at-large bid.
Minnesota: RPI 46, SOS- 3. Wins over Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa and a SOS of 3 are very impressive, but they are only 12-12 vs. the RPI top 200. They have to get some wins in the Big Ten tournament, but have to beat Penn State first to get to 8-10 in conference play. 7-11 would mean a trip to the NIT.
Missouri: RPI- 49, SOS- 80. Going 8-8 vs. the RPI top 100 is better than most bubble teams, but they only have 1 win over a tournament team (UCLA). Beating Tennessee is a must, as is winning some games in the SEC tournament.
Georgetown: RPI- 57, SOS- 13. Wins over VCU, Michigan State, Kansas State, Creighton, Xavier, and Providence are by far better than any other bubble team. But those 3 bad losses (Northeastern and Seton Hall twice) are killers and will likely force Georgetown to make a deep run in the Big East tournament to secure an at-large bid, assuming they lose to Villanova in the regular season finale.
Bids by Conference:
PAC 12: 7
BIG 12: 7
A-10: 6
BIG TEN: 5
BIG 12: 7
A-10: 6
BIG TEN: 5
ACC: 5
AAC: 5
BIG EAST: 4
SEC: 3
AAC: 5
BIG EAST: 4
SEC: 3
MWC: 2
WCC: 2
WCC: 2
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